2025-08-20 10:32

Aug 20 (Reuters) - Futures tracking Canada's main stock index were flat on Wednesday, as investors await the U.S. Federal Reserve's annual symposium later this week for clues on the monetary policy path. The futures on the S&P/TSX index (.SXFcv1) , opens new tab were down 0.02% as of 06:05 a.m. ET (1005 GMT), while futures tracking Wall Street's benchmark S&P 500 fell 0.1%. Sign up here. Investors avoided outsized bets as they looked ahead to remarks from Fed chair Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday that could potentially sway market expectations for future interest rate cuts. Later on Wednesday, expectations for U.S. policy easing will also be tested by the release of minutes from the Fed's last policy meeting, where two officials dissented from the majority "hold" verdict - the first such split since 1993. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are pricing in at least two rate cuts by the end of 2025. Ahead of the Fed minutes, gold prices ticked up but hovered near three-week lows. Copper prices remained steady. Oil prices gained over 1% after report of a drop in U.S. crude inventories. Canada's new housing price index, due at 08:30 a.m. ET, is the only noteworthy indicator in a data-light day. In corporate news, High Arctic Energy Services (HWO.TO) , opens new tab on Tuesday announced the resignation of Mike Maguire as CEO. The S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) , opens new tab fell on Tuesday, dragged by significant declines for technology and mining shares. Tuesday's losses, however, were contained by a cooler domestic inflation report. The data firmed expectations for a Bank of Canada rate cut at the October meeting, with the odds reaching about 60%. FOR CANADIAN MARKETS NEWS, CLICK ON CODES: TSX market report Canadian dollar and bonds report CA/ Reuters global stocks poll for Canada , Canadian markets directory ($1 = 1.3878 Canadian dollars) https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/tsx-futures-subdued-investors-await-jackson-hole-conference-2025-08-20/

2025-08-20 10:28

MUMBAI, Aug 20 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee slipped on Wednesday, as corporate hedging and short-term speculators bolstered demand for the greenback, most of which was met by dollar sales by foreign banks. The rupee settled at 87.0650 to the U.S. dollar against its close of 86.9500 on Tuesday when it climbed the most in over a month, boosted by speculation over Russia-Ukraine peace talks. Sign up here. Traders said foreign banks were active sellers of dollars on Wednesday, limiting rupee depreciation despite significant hedging by importers. A rally in local equities and position squaring also helped the Indian currency recover after recent pressure, traders said. Recent weeks have seen the rupee’s direction influenced by news around U.S. tariffs on India, S&P's upgrade of the nation's sovereign credit rating and Prime Minister Narendra Modi's planned tax cuts on goods and services. Foreign portfolio investors turned buyers of Indian assets in the past three sessions after net selling Indian markets in the last few weeks over tariff uncertainties. "FPIs have turned steady buyers in Indian markets, encouraged by hopes that the U.S. may reconsider its plan to impose an additional 25% tariff on Indian exports," said Amit Pabari, managing director at CR Forex. The return of foreign inflows comes even as U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday accused India of profiteering from its purchases of Russian oil during the war in Ukraine. Other Asian currencies traded mixed on the day, while the dollar index was slightly higher at 98.21 as on 1549 IST. Rupee traders will also tune in to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on Friday, which may provide clues on the U.S.'s interest rate trajectory. “A signal that cuts may be delayed could strengthen the dollar, while any indication of looser policy may weigh on it and encourage risk-on sentiment,” Pabari added. https://www.reuters.com/world/india/rupee-edges-lower-dollar-sales-by-foreign-banks-offset-most-greenback-demand-2025-08-20/

2025-08-20 10:26

KYIV, Aug 20 (Reuters) - Russia struck a gas distribution station in the southern Ukraine region of Odesa on Wednesday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said, adding this showed the need to put economic pressure on Russia amid current U.S. efforts to end the war. "All of these are demonstrative strikes that only confirm the need to put pressure on Moscow, the need to impose new sanctions and tariffs until diplomacy is fully effective," Zelenskiy wrote on X. Sign up here. Zelenskiy did not specify how important the gas station is. Local authorities did not report any problems with gas supplies in the region. Ukraine uses gas not only for industrial needs, but also for heating homes and cooking. The Russian Defence Ministry confirmed the attack on what it said was port infrastructure "used to supply fuel to Ukrainian forces". In recent weeks, Russian forces have intensified attacks on gas and energy infrastructure, attacking a gas interconnector with Romania and fuel depots in several regions in early August. Ukraine has called on Baku to respond to Russian attacks on assets of Azerbaijani state-owned company SOCAR in the Odesa region. Ukrainian authorities say that Russia is trying to disrupt Ukraine's preparations for the winter heating season with its attacks. Ukraine has faced a serious gas shortage since a series of devastating Russian missile strikes this year, which significantly reduced domestic production. Ukrainian forces have also stepped up attacks on Russia's energy infrastructure, a key conduit for generating money for Kremlin's war efforts. Oil is once again flowing to Hungary and Slovakia via the Druzhba pipeline, officials from both countries said late on Tuesday, after a Ukrainian drone strike on an oil pumping station in Russia's Tambov region halted supplies. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ukraines-zelenskiy-says-russia-struck-gas-distribution-station-odesa-region-2025-08-20/

2025-08-20 10:02

LONDON, Aug 20 (Reuters) - The British pound rose marginally against the dollar and euro on Wednesday after data showed inflation hit its highest in 18 months in July, with markets not fully pricing the next rate cut from the Bank of England until well into next year. The headline consumer price index increased to 3.8% from 3.6%, official data showed, while inflation in the services sector, which is closely watched by the BoE, accelerated to 5% from 4.7% a month earlier. Sign up here. Economists surveyed by Reuters had expected headline inflation at 3.7% in July, while the BoE had forecast it to rise to 3.8%. The biggest contributor to July's inflation rise came from transport costs, particularly air fares. "What is really striking is that its the volatile air fares component that was driving the majority of the topside surprise," said Danske Bank FX analyst Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen. "It's something that is more volatile and something that the Bank of England doesn't necessarily put too much weight on." The pound rose 0.1% against the dollar to $1.3501. The pound was also up 0.1% at 86.18 pence per euro . The BoE cut its bank rate earlier this month but only after a tight 5-4 vote, with a large minority on the rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) worried about sticky price pressures. The next 25 basis point rate cut is not fully priced until March 2026, while a move by the end of the year is about a 50-50 chance. "The MPC may look for more patience going forward as it grapples with an uncomfortable trade-off: high near-term price momentum versus sluggish labour market data," said Sanjay Raja, chief UK economist at Deutsche Bank in a note. https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/sterling-edges-up-inflation-rises-highest-1-12-years-2025-08-20/

2025-08-20 08:56

2025 GDP growth outlook seen above midpoint of 4.6%-5.4% BI has cut rates by 125 bps since September Government says there is room for more easing July loan growth at weakest since March 2022 JAKARTA, Aug 20 (Reuters) - Indonesia's central bank cut interest rates again in a surprise move on Wednesday and flagged it could cut some more, as it stepped up support for Southeast Asia's largest economy against the backdrop of global uncertainties. Bank Indonesia (BI) trimmed the benchmark 7-day reverse repurchase rate (IDCBRR=ECI) , opens new tab by 25 basis points to 5.00%, its fifth rate cut since September, taking it to its lowest level since late 2022. Sign up here. Only five of 29 economists polled by Reuters had expected a cut. The rest expected rates to be kept steady. Governor Perry Warjiyo told a press conference that the decision was in line with expectations of low inflation and a stable rupiah, as well as the need to bolster economic activity. GDP growth is expected to accelerate to around 5.1% or higher in 2025, above the midpoint of BI's official outlook range of 4.6% to 5.4%, Warjiyo said, and compared with 5.03% in 2024. "The capacity of the economy is still larger than the demand. That is why we have lowered interest rates ... and we will continue to assess room for further rate cuts," the governor said. Warjiyo was upbeat about growth prospects in the second half, citing the impact of BI's monetary easing and the acceleration of government spending. Wednesday's rate cut was BI's fifth since last September, with a total reduction of 125 basis points. It was the first time during the easing cycle that it has made cuts at consecutive meetings. The decision followed data earlier this month showing that economic growth accelerated to 5.12% in the second quarter, the fastest annual pace in two years, driven by robust investment and household spending. Some economists questioned the strength of that data, pointing to indicators showing weakening domestic demand, while others have taken note of looming headwinds to growth caused by U.S. tariffs. "First-half growth may have come in stronger than expected, but the second half holds challenges given higher U.S. tariffs and still-fragile consumer confidence," said Maybank economist Brian Lee. Indonesia's exports to the United States have been subject to a 19% tariff since August 7, the same level as Thailand, Malaysia, the Philippines and Cambodia. In a sign of demand remaining soft in the current quarter, July loan growth slowed to 7.03%, the lowest since March 2022. BI blamed this on banks preferring to park excess liquidity in securities instead of lending and reducing their lending rates at a slower pace. "Bank Indonesia is clearly keen to support economic growth and, so long as inflation remains contained and the rupiah holds up well, there is probably scope for a bit more monetary easing over the coming months," Jason Tuvey, Capital Economics' analyst wrote in a note, predicting further cuts taking the benchmark to 4.50% by year-end. Maybank's Lee forecast cuts of 50 bps more this year and another 50 bps next year to bolster growth, noting the government's 5.4% growth target for 2026, which President Prabowo Subianto unveiled last week. Prabowo proposed to parliament a $234 billion budget for 2026, a 7.3% increase from this year's budget outlook, with a large increase in spending for defence and his flagship food and nutrition programmes. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/indonesias-central-bank-surprises-with-rate-cut-raises-gdp-outlook-2025-08-20/

2025-08-20 08:45

LONDON, Aug 20 (Reuters) - British house prices in June were 3.7% higher than a year earlier, up from an annual increase of 2.7% in May, the Office for National Statistics said on Wednesday. House price inflation reached its highest in more than two years at 5.5% in March ahead of the expiry of a tax break on many property purchases. Sign up here. Private-sector rents were 5.9% higher than a year earlier in July, down from 6.7% in June and the smallest annual increase since January 2023. https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-house-prices-rise-37-year-on-year-june-2025-08-20/