2025-07-28 06:35
UN climate chief criticises delay in deciding summit host Deadline for decision was set for June Australia, Turkey have been vying to host COP31 since 2022 SYDNEY, July 28 (Reuters) - The United Nations climate chief on Monday urged Australia and Turkey to resolve their long-running tussle over who will host next year's COP31 summit, calling the delay unhelpful and unnecessary. Australia and Turkey submitted bids to host the high-profile conference in 2022 and both countries have refused to concede to the other , opens new tab ever since. Sign up here. Simon Stiell, executive secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, which oversees COP summits, said the deadlock was undermining preparations. “A decision needs to be made very quickly,” he said at a Smart Energy Council event in Sydney. “The two proponents need to come together and between themselves and within the group to make that decision. The delay in making that decision is unhelpful to the process.” The annual UN talks rotate through five regional groups. COP31's host must be unanimously agreed upon by the 28 members of the Western Europe and Others Group (WEOG) bloc. The UN had set a deadline of June for the group to reach consensus. Australia is seeking to co-host next year’s summit with the Pacific to showcase its renewable energy transition. It had hoped to secure the bid, which has majority backing among WEOG members, at COP29 in Azerbaijan. But Turkey has rebuffed calls to drop out of the race, and instead doubled down on its efforts during interim talks in Bonn last month. Turkey argues its Mediterranean location would help reduce emissions from flights bringing delegates to the conference, and has pointed out its smaller oil and gas industry compared to Australia. Stiell said the deadlock was now affecting the planning of the COP process, involving thousands of delegates from 200 member countries. “In negotiations that are as complex as they are, that lack of clarity creates tensions that are completely unnecessary at this stage,” he said. Asked for comment, the office of Australian Climate Change Minister Chris Bowen referred to an interview where he said Australia’s bid had the backing of 23 out of 28 WEOG members. Australia had also approached Turkey multiple times to find a “win-win” solution, he said. “We've got the votes. We could have all the votes in the world. If Turkey is not going to withdraw, that's still a challenge,” Bowen told The Conversation Politics Podcast on Thursday. At the same event, Stiell also called on Australia to set an ambitious 2035 emissions target and accelerate its clean energy transition. Australia’s national climate plan, due in September, would be a “defining moment” that could send a message that “this country is open for clean investment, trade, and long-term partnerships”, he said. https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/cop/un-tells-australia-turkey-end-cop31-hosting-standoff-2025-07-28/
2025-07-28 06:13
US and EU avert trade war with 15% tariff deal US-China to resume tariff talks in Stockholm July 28 (Reuters) - Gold prices climbed in choppy trading on Monday, as a weaker dollar helped offset pressure from improved risk appetite following a trade framework agreement between the United States and the European Union. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $3,342.73 per ounce, as of 0557 GMT, after touching its lowest level since July 17. Sign up here. U.S. gold futures edged 0.2% higher to $3,342.80. The U.S. struck a framework trade agreement with the European Union on Sunday, imposing a 15% import tariff on most EU goods - half the threatened rate - and averting a bigger trade war between the two allies that account for almost a third of global trade. However, the agreement left key issues unresolved, including tariffs on spirits. The agreement eased transatlantic trade tensions, putting pressure on gold, said Jigar Trivedi, a senior commodity analyst at Reliance Securities, adding that it also softened the dollar index, which provided some cushion to bullion. The U.S. dollar index (.DXY) , opens new tab edged lower, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for overseas buyers. Risk sentiment improved following the agreement, with European currencies and U.S. stock index futures trading higher. Meanwhile, senior U.S. and Chinese negotiators are set to meet in Stockholm later in the day to address long-standing economic disputes, seeking to extend a truce that has prevented higher tariffs. "In the short term, we don't expect gold to experience wild swings. Investors are turning their focus to a pivotal week for U.S. monetary policy and economic data," Trivedi said. The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range after its two-day policy meeting concludes on Wednesday. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday he had a positive meeting with Powell, suggesting the Fed chief might be inclined to lower interest rates. Spot silver was up 0.4% at $38.28 per ounce, while platinum gained 1.2% to $1,417.81 and palladium rose 2.8% to $1,254.37. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/gold-rises-soft-dollar-offsets-risk-on-mood-us-eu-tariff-deal-2025-07-28/
2025-07-28 06:09
Diesel demand remains strong in US, India and China Low diesel stocks support refining margins amid supply disruptions EU sanctions on Russia to reshape global diesel flows, impact Indian refiners LONDON, July 28 (Reuters) - New European Union sanctions targeting Russia's oil industry will reshuffle global diesel flows for the second time since 2022, adding pressure to an already red-hot market. Diesel prices have proven surprisingly resilient so far this year. U.S. President Donald Trump's sweeping tariff announcement in April sparked concerns that global economic and trade activity was about to decelerate sharply. But these fears failed to materialize after Trump rowed back many of these threats and engaged in trade negotiations. Sign up here. The diesel market is seen as a proxy for global economic activity because the fuel is mostly used in trucks, ships and power generators as well as agricultural and industrial machinery. In Europe, around a quarter of the passenger car fleet runs on diesel, a significantly higher proportion than in other regions. U.S. diesel demand, based on a four-week average, has been nearly 5% higher so far in 2025 than a year ago at 3.8 million barrels per day, according to the Energy Information Administration. Meanwhile, India’s diesel consumption in May climbed 2.1% from a year earlier and China's demand appeared to be strong in June, judging by high refinery crude processing. This is a far cry from the weak environment many imagined we might be seeing after Trump escalated his global trade war. LOW STOCKS One major support for refining margins in recent months has been low diesel stocks. Combined inventories of diesel in the United States, Europe and Singapore are around 20% below their 10-year average. Diesel stocks typically build during the northern hemisphere summer, when refinery output is at its highest. Beyond the mixed demand picture, there are a host of other reasons for the slow diesel inventory build. These include unplanned refinery outages, such as Israel's 197,000-barrels per day refinery in Haifa that was hit during the 12-day war with Iran in June, and the closure of the 113,000-bpd Lindsey refinery in northeast England following its owner’s bankruptcy. The global shortage in heavy and medium crude oil grades, which have higher diesel yields, has further limited refining output. The shortage is the result of U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan crude exports, a drop in Canadian output due to wildfires and lower exports of those grades by OPEC members. EU SANCTIONS The outlook for diesel was further complicated last week after the EU adopted its 18th package of sanctions against Russia over its war in Ukraine. The measures, aimed at limiting Moscow’s revenue from oil exports, included an import ban on refined products made from Russian crude. The ban, which would likely kick in next year, seeks to close a loophole that Russia has been exploiting since the EU halted most imports of the country’s crude and refined products in the wake of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Russia accounted for 40% of Europe's diesel imports in 2021, representing nearly a quarter of the region's total consumption. To address the shortfall following the 2022 ban, Europe increased diesel imports from China, India and Turkey. At the same time, those three countries sharply increased imports of cheap Russian crude oil, which meant Europe was effectively buying products made from Russian feedstock. Indian refiners, which accounted for 16% of Europe's imports of diesel and jet fuel last year, are set to be particularly hard hit by the latest ban, as 38% of India's crude imports in 2024 were from Russia, according to Kpler data. The ban would likely have a smaller impact on imports by Turkey, where Russian crude tends to be used by refineries that supply the domestic market. Plants that export fuel to Europe tend to process non-Russian crude. The main winners will likely be Gulf states. The new EU ban exempts countries that are net exporters of crude, even if they import Russian oil. This would allow refineries in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait to increase exports to Europe, taking market share from Indian competitors. MARKET REJIGGING The most likely outcome from these new sanctions, whose details have yet to be specified, is a reorganization of global diesel shipping flows. Indian refiners, including the giant 1.2 million Reliance refining complex in Jamnagar, will need to find new outlets for their fuels. This will likely include markets in Africa, where Indian operators would be competing for market share with Nigeria’s newly-built 650,000-bpd Dangote refinery, the continent's largest. At the same time, Middle Eastern refiners will direct more diesel towards Europe and less fuel towards closer Asian markets. This, in turn, will likely lead to higher freight costs – and that could ultimately push up prices at the pump in Europe. This situation would get even more complicated if President Trump follows through on the threat to hit countries that buy Russian oil with a 100% tariff if Moscow doesn’t agree to stop the fighting in Ukraine by September. This all means that even if oil demand begins to falter, the combination of low global diesel inventories and tightening sanctions on Russia will likely support diesel prices and refining margins in the months ahead. Enjoying this column? Check out Reuters Open Interest (ROI), , opens new tabyour essential new source for global financial commentary. ROI delivers thought-provoking, data-driven analysis. Markets are moving faster than ever. ROI , opens new tab can help you keep up. 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2025-07-28 05:45
Heavy rain causes landslides and flooding in northern China Over 4,400 people relocated due to extreme weather conditions China allocates 50 million yuan for disaster recovery in Hebei HONG KONG, July 28 (Reuters) - Heavy rain intensified around Beijing and nearby provinces on Monday, with four people killed in a landslide in northern Hebei and eight people missing, as authorities warned of intensifying conditions and heightened disaster risks in the coming days. Authorities relocated more than 4,400 people as colossal rain continued to pound the suburban area of Miyun in Beijing causing flash floods and landslides, impacting many villages, state broadcaster CCTV reported. Sign up here. Images circulated on China's Wechat app showed areas of Miyun where cars and trucks were floating on a flooded road where water levels had risen so high that it had submerged part of a residential building. Electricity cuts are also affecting more than 10,000 people, in the area, CCTV said. Northern China has seen record precipitation in recent years, exposing densely populated cities, including Beijing, to flood risks. Some scientists link the increased rainfall in China’s usually arid north to global warming. China's Central Meteorological Observatory said that heavy rainfall would continue to drench northern China over the next three days. Beijing issued its highest level flood alert on Monday, the official Xinhua news agency said. The storms are part of the broader pattern of extreme weather across China due to the East Asian monsoon, which has caused disruptions in the world's second-largest economy. Xiwanzi Village in Shicheng Town, near Miyun Reservoir, was severely affected, CCTV said on Monday with an additional 100 villagers transferred to a primary school for shelter. It comes after the maximum flood peak flow into the Miyun reservoir reached a record high of 6550 cubic meters per second, Beijing authorities said on Sunday. In neighbouring Shanxi province, videos from state media showed roads inundated by strong gushing currents and submerged vegetation including crops and trees. Shaanxi province, home to China's historic city of Xian, also issued flash flood disaster risk warnings on Monday. In Beijing's Pinggu District, two high-risk road sections have been sealed, authorities said. Authorities are carrying out search and rescue work across cities including Datong, where a driver in a Ford car has lost contact while driving in the floods, the People's Daily reported. China’s Water Resources Ministry has issued targeted flood warnings to 11 provinces and regions, including Beijing and neighbouring Hebei, for floods from small and midsize rivers and mountain torrents. Two were dead and two missing in Hebei province, CCTV said on Sunday morning. Overnight rain dumped a record 145 mm (5.7 inches) per hour on Fuping in the industrial city of Baoding. China's National Development and Reform Commission said on Monday that it was urgently arranging 50 million yuan ($6.98 million) to support Hebei. The funds would be used to repair damaged roads and bridges, water conservancy embankments, schools and hospitals in the disaster area. The NDRC said it was "promoting the restoration of normal life and production as soon as possible." Chinese authorities closely monitor extreme rainfall and severe flooding are, as they challenge the country's ageing flood defences, threaten to displace millions and wreak havoc on China's $2.8 trillion agricultural sector. ($1 = 7.1675 Chinese yuan renminbi) https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/four-killed-eight-missing-heavy-rain-soaks-northern-china-2025-07-28/
2025-07-28 05:39
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Gregor Stuart Hunter We may be hearing a lot about the art of the deal this week. Sign up here. With the U.S. tariff deadline bearing down on the global economy at the end of this week, it's the EU's turn to announce a trade deal with the White House, albeit one that is skewed in the U.S.'s favour. The agreement lowers the baseline tariff on most European imports to 15% from the Trump administration's earlier threat of a 30% rate, while committing the EU to invest some $600 billion in the United States. Governments around the world are racing to reach trade agreements with the U.S. to avert the imposition of the Liberation Day tariffs that were first announced on April 2. Talks are also taking place between the U.S. and China in Stockholm on Monday, with reports indicating another 90-day extension to the tariff deadline may be in the works. As Vasu Menon, managing director for investment strategy at OCBC in Singapore, puts it: "The 15% tariff is a pleasant surprise as it is half of what the U.S. threatened to impose on the EU, and it offers hope that other major trading partners of the U.S. could also strike deals of this nature soon." The deal appears to mirror the one struck between the U.S. and Japan last week, with a pattern emerging of unilateral investment in exchange for a lower tariff. That could indicate what to expect as talks go down to the wire with other big economies like China, South Korea and Taiwan. The new U.S. tariff rate on the EU extends to medicinal and pharmaceutical products and motor vehicles, which were the bloc's biggest exports to the U.S. last year. Aircraft and their components, the next biggest segment, will have zero-for-zero tariffs, though the U.S. will keep in place a 50% tariff on steel and aluminium. Investors welcomed the trade deal that avoids a trade war and could bring clarity for companies. Pan-region futures climbed 1%, German DAX futures rose 1%, and FTSE futures gained 0.5%. U.S. equity futures rose 0.4% following the deal, putting the S&P 500 on track for a sixth consecutive day of gains and potentially a new peak. Earnings from Heineken (HEIN.AS) , opens new tab will headline the corporate diary on Monday as the world's second-largest brewer counts the cost of tariffs. However, the firm's shares will likely get a boost from the newly-agreed framework deal along with automakers (.SXAP) , opens new tab and drugmakers (.SXDP) , opens new tab in the region. Key developments that could influence markets on Monday: Earnings: Heineken NV, Wise PLC, EssilorLuxottica SA UK data: CBI Distributive Trades for July Debt auctions: France 3-month, 7-month, 9-month and 1-year Trying to keep up with the latest tariff news? Our new daily news digest offers a rundown of the top market-moving headlines impacting global trade. Sign up for Tariff Watch here. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/global-markets-view-europe-2025-07-28/
2025-07-28 05:31
US, European stock futures jump, euro stable after agreement US-China talks to continue with truce likely to be extended Megacap earnings and Fed, BOJ meetings due this week SINGAPORE, July 28 (Reuters) - Global stocks rose and the euro appreciated on Monday after a tradeagreement between the United States and the EU lifted sentiment and provided some clarity in a week of key policy meetings by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The U.S. struck a framework trade agreement with the European Union, imposing a 15% import tariff on most EU goods - half the threatened rate, a week after agreeing to a similar trade deal with Japan. Sign up here. Countries are scrambling to finalise trade deals ahead of an August 1 deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump, with talks between the U.S. and China set for Monday in Stockholm amid expectations of another 90-day extension to the truce between the world's top two economies. "A 15% tariff on European goods, forced purchases of U.S. energy and military equipment and zero tariff retaliation by Europe, that's not negotiation, that's the art of the deal," said Prashant Newnaha, senior Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities. "A big win for the U.S." European futures surged more than 1%, while S&P 500 futures rose 0.5% and Nasdaq futures advanced 0.6%. The euro strengthened across the board, rising against the dollar, sterling and yen. "We have to be a bit cautious from here," said Sim Moh Siong, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore, of the broader risk-on rally. "A lot of good news is already in the price." MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) , opens new tab was up 0.32%, just shy of the almost four-year high it touched last week. Japan's Nikkei fell 1% after hitting a one-year high last week. While the baseline 15% tariff will still be seen by many in Europe as too high, compared with Europe's initial hopes to secure a zero-for-zero tariff deal, it is better than the threatened 30% rate. The U.S.-EU deal provides clarity to companies and averts a bigger trade war between the two allies that account for almost a third of global trade. "A major tail-risk has now been defused," said Marc Velan, head of investments at Lucerne Asset Management in Singapore. "Markets are interpreting this as a sign of stability and predictability returning to trade policy," he added. "The China delay fits the same pattern: the administration is opting for controlled diplomacy over confrontation." Gains for China's blue-chip stocks (.CSI300) , opens new tab petered out towards the midday break, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index (.HSI) , opens new tab gained 0.5%. The Australian dollar , often seen as a proxy for risk appetite, was at $0.657, hovering around the near eight-month peak scaled last week. FED, BOJ AWAIT In an action-packed week, investors will watch out for the monetary policy meetings from the Fed and the BOJ as well as the monthly U.S. employment report and earnings from megacap companies Apple (AAPL.O) , opens new tab, Microsoft (MSFT.O) , opens new tab and Amazon (AMZN.O) , opens new tab. While the Fed and the BOJ are expected to maintain rates, comments from the officials will be crucial for investors to gauge the interest rate path. The trade deal with Japan has opened the door for the BOJ to raise rates again this year. Meanwhile, the Fed is likely to be cautious on any rate cuts as officials seek more data to determine tariffs' impact on inflation before they ease rates further. But tensions between the White House and the central bank over monetary policy have increased, with Trump repeatedly lashing out at Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Two of the Fed Board's Trump appointees have articulated reasons for supporting a rate cut this month. In commodities, oil prices rose after the U.S.-EU trade agreement. Brent crude futures and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude both rose 0.5%. Gold prices fell on Monday to their lowest in nearly two weeks on reduced appetite for safe havens. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-wrapup-3-2025-07-28/
