2025-12-03 14:54

SAO PAULO, Dec 3 (Reuters) - Brazilian chicken exports are expected to rise up to 0.5% this year to 5.32 million metric tons, meat lobby ABPA said on Wednesday, after exporters avoided trade bans triggered by a bird flu outbreak in May, including from key buyers China, Japan and the European Union. Before the outbreak in Rio Grande do Sul state, which Brazil controlled in the space of roughly a month, ABPA had projected chicken exports growing by up to 1.9% to 5.4 million tons. In August, as some bans remained in place, ABPA had said Brazilian chicken exports could fall by as much as 2% to 5.2 million tons this year. Sign up here. The return of bird flu outbreaks in the United States, which tend to reduce local production and chicken exports from Brazil's main competitor in global markets, may also give domestic chicken exports a push, according to ABPA. "Brazil has 38% of the global chicken trade and the U.S. has 27%," said Ricardo Santin, head of ABPA, addressing a press conference. "Any reduction [in U.S. exports] has a big impact." In its latest projections, ABPA also said Brazilian chicken meat production was expected to rise by up to 2.2% to 15.3 million tons in 2025 and to increase by up to 2% to 15.6 million tons in 2026. ABPA noted the outlook is also positive for Brazilian pork production and exports, adding the country may become the world's third-largest pork supplier in 2025. Santin cited outbreaks of African swine fever in European countries and the Philippines, which create opportunities for Brazilian suppliers. Brazil's pork exports may rise as much as 10% this year to 1.49 million tons, according to ABPA's new projections. Pork production this year is projected to rise by as much as 4.6% to 5.55 million tons, ABPA said. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/brazil-2025-chicken-exports-rise-despite-bird-flu-trade-bans-2025-12-03/

2025-12-03 12:37

Dec 3 (Reuters) - Enbridge (ENB.TO) , opens new tab on Wednesday forecast higher core profit for 2026, as the Canadian pipeline operator expects to benefit from strong demand and new projects entering service. The company projected an adjusted core profit of C$20.2 billion ($14.49 billion) to C$20.8 billion, compared with expectations of between C$19.4 billion and C$20 billion for this year. Sign up here. Surging demand for AI-fueled data centers and accelerating electrification are expected to push U.S. power demand to record levels in 2025 and 2026, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. "We also expect strong growth in 2026 from recent rate settlements and rate cases in both Gas Distribution and Gas Transmission," CEO Gregory Ebel said in a statement. The Calgary-based company had bought three Dominion Energy (D.N) , opens new tab utilities last year — East Ohio Gas, Questar Gas and Public Service Co of North Carolina — in a $14 billion deal, including debt. Enbridge also raised its quarterly dividend by 3% to 97 Canadian cents a share, effective March 1. ($1 = 1.3942 Canadian dollars) https://www.reuters.com/business/enbridge-forecasts-higher-2026-core-profit-2025-12-03/

2025-12-03 12:25

FRANKFURT, Dec 3 (Reuters) - Euro zone inflation has delivered some "upside surprises" recently, raising some questions about the European Central Bank's expectations for a dip early next year, the ECB's chief economist Philip Lane said on Wednesday. Inflation in the 20 nations sharing the euro has been hovering around the ECB's 2% target for most of this year, but some measures of price growth came in higher than expected in the last couple of months. Sign up here. Lane said there was still a risk that inflation - which rose sharply in 2021-22 before falling back to the ECB's 2% goal - might surpass the central bank's expectations. "The inflation risk is not one way, we've seen some upside surprises recently," Lane told an event. The ECB's September projections put inflation at 2.1% this year, 1.7% in 2026 and 1.9% in 2027. Lane is due to present new forecasts, which will cover 2028 for the first time, at the ECB's next meeting on December 18, when the central bank is expected to keep its policy rate at 2%. "We did have a clear projection, because of low energy, of inflation falling below target, especially in the opening months of next year," Lane said. "But in fact some of the data since then have moved in the opposite direction, so those are some of the mitigants." Headline inflation edged up to 2.2% last month, slightly above expectations, as prices in the services sector accelerated. In October, underlying inflation, which strips out more volatile prices such as food and energy, had also come in slightly higher than expected. Delivering a speech earlier, Lane repeated his mantra that the ECB should not "respond to near-term deviations that are solidly expected to be transitory". https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/ecbs-lane-flags-upside-surprises-euro-zone-inflation-2025-12-03/

2025-12-03 11:49

LONDON, Dec 3 (Reuters) - The Dated Brent global physical crude oil benchmark is working well, with no need for significant methodology changes, S&P Global Energy Platts said at a briefing in London on Wednesday. Dated Brent, the most significant physical oil benchmark, is used to price more than 60% of globally traded crude and underpins oil futures. Its value affects fuel prices paid by consumers and businesses. Sign up here. The last major change S&P Global Energy made was adding U.S. WTI Midland to the Dated Brent benchmark in May 2023 to help bolster liquidity amid declining North Sea output. "It's reflective of the market, it's working and we are seeing trades and performance on a regular basis," Emma Kettley, associate editorial director of crude and fuel oil, said. Platts said just under 200 cargoes had traded so far in 2025, almost in line with last year's levels, with WTI Midland bringing significant liquidity. U.S. TERMINAL PROPOSAL Platts on Tuesday announced a methodology proposal to allow traders to load WTI Midland from different U.S. terminals for larger shipments to Europe. WTI Midland is sold into Europe under the Dated Brent methodology on 700,000-barrel cargoes on Aframax tankers. However, participants can save on freight by combining Aframax cargoes onto larger VLCC tankers. Currently, Platts requires all oil cargoes loaded onto a larger vessel to have originated from a single Platts-approved terminal, but it is now proposing to allow compliant WTI Midland loadings from multiple Platts-approved terminals, provided the cargoes are in segregated tanks on board the vessel and have separate documents. The price reporting agency is seeking feedback by January 16, with the change potentially taking effect next May. Platts has made other tweaks to the methodology since adding WTI Midland concerning freight-related calculations and U.S. loadings. It most recently added Texas International Terminal in July this year as its 13th approved U.S. terminal for WTI Midland. Thomson Reuters competes with Platts in the provision of commodities markets news and data. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/no-need-significant-dated-brent-changes-platts-says-2025-12-03/

2025-12-03 11:37

Indonesia floods kill 804 on Sumatra island Some local governments warn of lack of funds and fuel Central government will support those in need, minister says JAKARTA, Dec 3 (Reuters) - Authorities battling floods on Indonesia's island of Sumatra that killed about 800 people this week have appealed for more central government help to tackle shortages of funds, food and fuel in relief efforts. Cyclone-induced floods and landslides have left 463 missing across the three provinces of West Sumatra, North Sumatra and Aceh, according to revised government figures, while local officials said severed power and road links were blocking access to aid. Sign up here. In East Aceh, fuel was limited for days, with aid coming via boats and some people living in isolated districts were facing the looming threat of hunger, said its chief Iskandar Usman Al-Farlaky. "Food stocks in three districts are dwindling and hunger is around the corner," he told Reuters, requesting a national emergency declaration from the central government. "The regional budget is limited." FUEL AND RICE SUPPLIES DWINDLING National data shows that 135,000 people in East Aceh were affected by the disaster. In Central Aceh, where 21 were killed and floods affected 54,000, supplies of fuel and rice were dwindling, said its chief, Haili Yoga, who is also among the four regional leaders urging the central government to declare a national emergency as public anger grows. Across Indonesia, the floods have affected 3.1 million, with 592,600 evacuated. Presidential spokesperson Prasetyo Hadi said Indonesia's budget of 500 billion rupiah ($30 million) for disaster relief was sufficient, adding that the figure could be increased if necessary. The comments followed remarks to reporters this week by President Prabowo Subianto, responding to a query about declaring a national emergency, that the situation was improving and current arrangements were enough. WITH NO FRESH WATER, PEOPLE TURN TO MUDDY FLOODWATERS Fuel supplies were also limited in Aceh's Pidie Jaya region, said its chief Sibral Malasyi. Residents of Aceh Tamiang were cleaning and drinking muddy flood water for lack of fresh water, KompasTV reported. Jonathan Victor Rembeth, an official at the disaster mitigation agency, said a national emergency could be called if provincial governments declared their inability to respond to a disaster, which they have not yet done. Indonesia, which is regularly hit by natural disasters, most recently declared a national emergency during the COVID-19 pandemic. The law provides for the president to declare a national emergency, freeing up additional funds for relief and rescue. On social media, Indonesians criticised the central government for not declaring an emergency and cited cuts to the budget for the disaster mitigation agency, which official data showed was down 50% this year from the last. Indonesia's home affairs minister, Tito Karnavian, said he had asked regional governments in areas not affected by the floods to donate unused funds to those affected. State energy firm Pertamina (PERTM.UL) faces fuel distribution challenges in "nearly all" the flood-affected areas, its spokesperson Muhammad Baron said. The company was seeking alternative routes, but delivery would take time. Green groups blame deforestation and illegal logging for worsening the disaster. ($1=16,625.0000 rupiah) https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/flood-hit-indonesian-regions-run-low-fuel-funds-relief-effort-2025-12-03/

2025-12-03 11:36

LONDON, Dec 3 (Reuters) - By Yoruk Bahceli, markets correspondent What matters in U.S. and global markets today Sign up here. Risk assets are showing further signs of recovery on Wednesday from a broad selloff that kicked off the month, but bonds are sitting on their losses for now. And the dollar is down with focus back to the Federal Reserve, with Trump delaying his pick for the next chair to 2026. Meanwhile, investors are stuck watching the ADP jobs report in the absence of November payrolls. I’ll get into all the market news below. But first check out Mike Dolan’s latest column on why investors should worry less about so-called ‘vigilantes’ and pay more attention to bond-market ‘termites’. And listen to the latest episode of the new Morning Bid , opens new tab daily podcast. Subscribe to hear Mike and other Reuters journalists discuss the biggest news in markets and finance seven days a week. Today's Market Minute Was it all just a blip for risk assets? The broad selloff that kicked the week off for markets is proving to be a blip for risk assets. After dropping half a percent on Monday, the S&P 500 rose 0.25% on Tuesday and futures were up in early London trading. Bitcoin was up another 1.7% after rising nearly 6% on Tuesday. But it remains 26% below an October peak. In other signs that it's not all plain sailing, 10-year Treasury yields dipped on Wednesday but were still up 7 basis points this week, while Japan's bond yields hit multi-year highs. But in the absence of a narrative to drive markets, all focus remains on the Fed, its meeting next week where traders are banking on a rate cut, and who will lead it next. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday he would announce his pick for the next Fed chair -- largely expected to be White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett -- early next year, later than previously expected, having previously said he already knows who he'll pick. Later on Tuesday, Trump said a potential Fed chair was present as he introduced Hassett at a meeting. Bets on Hassett as the next Fed chair briefly dipped on betting site Polymarket on Tuesday, but quickly recovered. Investors reckon Hassett, seen as favoring lower interest rates, could dent the dollar further. The euro and sterling reached their highest in over a month against the dollar on Wednesday as Fed rate cut bets continue to weigh on the dollar. Focus turns to economic data, though the prints are unlikely to sway the Fed. November's ADP report is expected to show private employers added 10,000 jobs, down from 42,000 in October, another sign of the labor market weakening. While the ADP doesn't correlate with the government's jobs report, markets are watching alternatives more closely as November's official one will only be released after the Fed meeting, thanks to the U.S. government shutdown. The ISM services PMI is also due, following data on Monday showing a ninth month of contraction for the manufacturing sector. Elsewhere, it's all about geopolitics. Russia and the U.S. did not reach a compromise on a possible Ukraine peace deal. The European Union's executive arm is set to move ahead with a proposal to use frozen Russian assets to fund lending to Ukraine. It's also leaving open the possibility of raising funding through joint EU borrowing -- an option financial markets would also welcome -- or a combination of the two. But Belgium, home to Euroclear where the assets sit and concerned over legal repercussions, was quick to say the new proposals still don't address its concerns. The bloc also agreed to phase out Russian gas imports, which still account for 12% of its total imports, by late 2027. Chart of the day White House Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett is still overwhelmingly seen as the candidate Trump will nominate to succeed Jay Powell as Federal Reserve Chair, according to betting site Polymarket. Today's events to watch * ADP national employment report (November) * U.S. industrial production (September) * ISM services PMI (November) * S&P Global services, composite final PMIs (November) * U.S. corporate earnings: Dollar Tree, Five Below, Macy's, Thor Industries, PVH Corp, Torrid Holdings, Tillys Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles , opens new tab, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias. Want to receive the Morning Bid in your inbox every weekday morning? Sign up for the newsletter here. https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/global-markets-view-usa-2025-12-03/