2025-09-10 06:15

SINGAPORE, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Asia's clean energy push will stall unless governments curb fossil fuel subsidies, offer stable policy direction and invest in upgrading grids, industry executives said on Wednesday. The executives flagged the cancellation of renewables auctions and subsidies to the fossil fuel industry as the biggest impediments of growth in green investments at a time when data centres are driving growth in power demand. Sign up here. "Coal continues to be subsidised and power and energy in general continue to be used as a political tool to win votes. And I think that's the biggest stumbling block," Lawrence Wu, chief financial officer for Asia of Portugal-based renewable power firm EDP Renewables (EDPR.LS) , opens new tab, told the APPEC conference in Singapore. Major Asian economies including Indonesia and India continue to incentivise coal use, saying it helps keep retail power tariffs in check, and cite lower per capita emissions to defend dependence on the fossil fuel. Nitin Apte, CEO of General Infrastructure Partners-owned, Singapore-based Vena Group, said the company is quadrupling construction of renewable energy projects in Asia to meet surging loads but said policy, not technology, is the main limitation. "If we know a permit takes four years and the steps are clear, we can price that risk. The concerns come when you run an auction and then cancel it or the power purchase agreement is not bankable," Apte said. Taiwan revoked two offshore wind generation licenses after review this year, while India has cancelled 11.4 gigawatts (GW) of renewable energy tenders in the last two years for reasons including high tariffs quoted. Data centres have caused a surge in power demand across the region, and not necessarily for renewable energy, he said. "I don't think they (data centres) really care what carbon intensity they have. They just want energy," Apte said. Malaysia, one of Southeast Asia's hottest data centre markets, is boosting coal-fired power output and importing the fuel at record levels, taking advantage of low prices. Both executives said challenges such as permitting delays were inflating financing costs and called for predictable long-term policy and timelines. Wu said EDPR is "doubling down" on Japan and Australia, which had "sustainable" risks that the company was "prepared to take". "It takes a few years to develop a project fully, but we know with a huge level of certainty in terms of what's going to come," adding that the predictability helped drive down financing and capital costs. https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/coal-subsidies-policy-instability-threaten-asias-energy-transition-2025-09-10/

2025-09-10 05:48

Market sees 8.4% odds of half-point Fed cut on September 17 Asian traders take cues from Wall Street's rise to new record US PPI, CPI figures this week to give final clues on Fed move TOKYO, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Asian stocks tracked Wall Street higher on Wednesday and safe-haven bonds fell as traders firmed up bets that U.S. labour market softness would spur the Federal Reserve to cut rates by at least a quarter point next week. S&P 500 futures pointed 0.3% higher, while the-European STOXX 50 futures gained 0.2%. Sign up here. Gold caught its breath after Tuesday's record high while the dollar was little changed with two crucial days of U.S. inflation figures, starting later on Wednesday, ahead of the Fed's September 17 decision. Crude oil continued to rise after Israel's attack on Hamas leadership in Qatar. Indeed, geopolitical worries remained front and centre of investors' minds after Poland scrambled its own and NATO air defences to shoot down drones following a Russian air attack on western Ukraine. Japan's Nikkei share average (.N225) , opens new tab added 0.8%, South Korea's KOSPI (.KS11) , opens new tab jumped 1.7% and Taiwan's equity benchmark (.TWII) , opens new tab climbed as much as 1.5% to hit a record high. Hong Kong's Hang Seng (.HSI) , opens new tab gained 1.3%, while mainland Chinese blue chips (.CSI300) , opens new tab rose 0.3%. Overnight, the S&P 500 (.SPX) , opens new tab, Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) , opens new tab and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) , opens new tab each ended the day at fresh all-time highs. Traders see a rate cut by the Fed next Wednesday as a sure thing, and even lay 8.4% odds on a super-sized half-point reduction, the CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows. A week earlier, markets had assigned a 7% probability on the Fed holding rates steady, but another dismal monthly payroll number last week convinced investors the Fed had no cushion to wait any longer to support the economy. The final hurdles to that view will come on Wednesday and Thursday, in the form of producer and consumer inflation readings, respectively. "An upside inflation surprise could rock the boat slightly and lead to an unwinding of rate cut probabilities, not so much for September, but for subsequent months," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com. The rapid deterioration in U.S. economic data, particularly on jobs, "is the reason why markets are pricing in such aggressive easing from the Fed - which, incidentally, the markets appear to believe will be enough to protect the U.S. economy from a recession, judging by current risk appetite," Rodda added. Markets took in stride a court ruling that temporarily blocked President Donald Trump from removing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, a case which is likely to end up before the Supreme Court. Investors are keenly following the unprecedented legal battle as it could upend the central bank's long-held independence. U.S. Treasury bonds declined for a second day on Wednesday, pushing yields higher. The 10-year Treasury yield added 1 basis point to 4.088%, after climbing almost 3 basis points on Tuesday. Equivalent Japanese government bond yields rose 0.5 basis points to 1.565%, paring an earlier rise after a smooth auction of five-year debt. Bond yields rise when prices fall. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the currency against six rivals, eased slightly to 97.707, reversing earlier small gains. The greenback was little changed at $1.1715 per euro , and down 0.07% at 147.31 yen . The European Central Bank sets policy this Thursday, and is widely expected to keep rates unchanged. A month ago, economists were split on the likelihood of further rate reductions by the ECB, but sentiment has shifted with recent data showing inflation holding close to the 2% target and unemployment at a record low. The Bank of Japan announces its latest policy decision on Friday next week, and is universally expected to forgo a rate hike this time. Reuters and Bloomberg published conflicting reports on Tuesday in terms of tone, with Reuters suggesting the BOJ may wait longer to tighten policy, while Bloomberg suggested policymakers are eyeing a hike this year. Investors have also been watching politics, focusing on who will take over from Shigeru Ishiba as Japan's next prime minister, and on the staying power of France's newly appointed fifth prime minister in two years. Gold rose 0.5% to $3,644 per ounce, a day after leaping to an unprecedented $3,673.95. Brent crude futures rose 1.1% to $67.13 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 1.1% to $63.34. Prices had settled up 0.6% in the previous trading session after Israel said it had attacked Hamas leadership in Doha, which Qatar's prime minister said threatened to derail peace talks between Hamas and Israel. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-wrapup-3-2025-09-10/

2025-09-10 05:06

All eyes on inflation reports before Fed meeting next week Markets wagering on rate cut as labour market stumbles Investor unease at political flux across the globe No immediate market reaction to court ruling on Cook, Poland-Russia news SINGAPORE, Sept 10 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was steady on Wednesday as traders braced for crucial inflation reports this week that could help define the size and scope of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve for next week and beyond. After a dismal jobs report last week cemented expectations of the Fed lowering borrowing costs at its September 16-17 policy meeting, the only question for investors is whether the magnitude of the cut would be 25 basis points or 50 basis points. Sign up here. Much of that will depend on the extent of the impact from tariffs on prices in the world's largest economy. U.S. producer price inflation data is due on Wednesday followed by the consumer price inflation report on Thursday. Traders are fully pricing in a 25 bps cut next week and have ascribed a 5% chance to a 50 bps reduction. They anticipate 66 bps of easing this year. "The bar for a 50 bp move is high, there would likely need to be a clear downside surprise in core inflation to give doves cover," said Kieran Williams, head of Asia FX at InTouch Capital Markets. "Given sticky services prices and the Fed’s preference for signalling gradualism, a jumbo cut next week looks unlikely, but the data will shape how aggressively the market prices the easing path into year end." That left the currency markets in limbo in Asian hours. The euro was little changed at $1.17115 after dropping 0.5% in the previous session while sterling was at $1.3534. The yen was flat at 147.41 per dollar. The Australian dollar tacked on 0.3% to $0.66065, hovering near the seven-week high it touched on Tuesday. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six other units, was steady at 97.834 after gaining 0.3% on Tuesday. The index is down about 10% in 2025 as erratic U.S. trade policies and rate cut expectations dented the dollar's appeal. Investors also took in stride a court ruling that temporarily blocked President Donald Trump from removing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, a case which is likely to end up before the U.S. Supreme Court. Investors are keenly following the unprecedented legal battle as it could upend the central bank's long-held independence. Geopolitics is also back in the agenda after Poland said scrambled its own and NATO air defences to shoot down drones following a Russian air attack on western Ukraine. FED NEXT WEEK Data on Tuesday showed the economy likely created 911,000 fewer jobs in the 12 months through March than previously estimated, suggesting job growth was already stalling before President Donald Trump's aggressive tariffs on imports. While the report underscored cracks in the labour market, rate cut bets remained intact as investors looked past the backward looking data, noting that it does not provide any information about job creation since March. "I think a 50 bp would do more damage than good for sentiment at this point," said Matt Simpson, a senior market analyst at City Index in Brisbane. "Besides, the Fed will want to save face and not fully succumb to Trump's wishes." "Markets are pricing in three cuts over the next three meetings and the Fed is in a good position to play nicely with those expectations, or increase odds of cuts in 2026 - without succumbing to a 50 bp cut next week," Simpson said. Investors have also been keeping an eye on politics across the globe, with focus on who will take over from Shigeru Ishiba as Japan's next prime minister as well as France's fifth prime minister in two years amid growing fiscal worries. Indonesian rupiah held firm after tumbling 1% on Tuesday following the removal of highly respected finance minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati, a move that stunned markets. "The fundamental risk is now tilted toward fiscal looseness amid growing protests and pressure to fund populist social programs," said InTouch's Williams. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/dollar-firm-traders-await-inflation-reports-clues-fed-policy-2025-09-10/

2025-09-10 04:33

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland Rising equities and falling bond prices portray the market's sanguine view on monetary policy, with a rate cut at next week's Fed meeting not only seen as a sure thing but also having decent odds for being a super-sized one. Sign up here. Wall Street closed at fresh record highs overnight, Taiwan's benchmark (.TWII) , opens new tab is vaulting to a new all-time peak, and Japan's Nikkei (.N225) , opens new tab is ticking back towards Tuesday's unprecedented levels. Although it looks like Donald Trump won't have his economic adviser Stephen Miran on the Fed's board of governors for the September 16-17 meeting - after a judge temporarily blocked the U.S. President from removing Governor Lisa Cook - the undeniable weakness of the labour market means that policy easing is imminent. What is in question, though, is how much still-sticky inflation complicates the Fed's rate-cut trajectory, with markets getting two days of crucial data in the form of PPI today and CPI tomorrow. Heated inflation readings would surely restart murmurs about dreaded stagflation, making the Fed's next steps precarious. Currently the market has 66 basis points of easing priced by year-end, and 7% odds for a 50 basis point cut next Wednesday. The Fed remains the dominant story across markets globally, although European investors need to keep one eye on geopolitical developments after NATO-member Poland for the first time shot down apparent Russian drones that it said encroached on its airspace during an attack on western Ukraine. French politics, of course, is another focus, with deeply unpopular President Emmanuel Macron's naming of 39-year-old loyalist Sebastien Lecornu as his fifth prime minister in less than two years begging the question of how long either man can cling to power. The outcome of the ECB's two-day meeting that starts today is more certain, with economists all but united in expecting rates to stay steady. A month ago, economists were split on the chances of another cut, but unemployment at a record low while inflation hovers close to target has changed those dovish minds. Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday: -US PPI (August) -Sweden monthly GDP (July) -Norway, Denmark CPI (both August) -Italy, Spain, Greece industrial output (all July) https://www.reuters.com/world/china/global-markets-view-europe-2025-09-10/

2025-09-10 03:04

MUMBAI, Sept 10 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is set to see choppy price action at the open, caught between U.S. President Donald Trump’s optimistic outlook on trade talks with New Delhi and his push for Europe to slap steep tariffs on India over Russian oil imports. The 1-month non-deliverable forward indicated the rupee will open in the 88.08-88.12 range versus the U.S. dollar, compared with 88.1025 in the previous session. Sign up here. Trump said that Washington and New Delhi are continuing negotiations to address trade barriers, adding that he is certain there will be no difficulty reaching a successful outcome. His remarks suggest that tariff tensions between the two countries could eventually be resolved through dialogue. At the same time, Trump urged the European Union to impose tariffs of up to 100% on China and India over its purchases of Russian oil, which has been a major cause of friction in its relations with Washington. The U.S. has already imposed punitive tariffs on Indian goods - among the steepest levies on any American trading partner. The progress of U.S.-India trade negotiations is seen a key driver for the rupee’s direction. The currency has underperformed its Asian peers due to the tariffs and a breakthrough would provide much-needed relief for the rupee. Absent that, further weakness looks likely, especially after the rupee slid to a all-time low against the dollar last Friday. Meanwhile, Indian equities were set for a higher opening on Wednesday, though traders noted the move was more in line with the advance in U.S. equity futures and Asian peers rather than any positive read-through from the latest tariff headlines. "It’s very hard to call today, and I am not sure what to make of the news headlines," a currency trader at a bank said. KEY INDICATORS: ** One-month non-deliverable rupee forward at 88.20/88.25; onshore one-month forward premium at 12.75 paise ** Dollar index down at 97.77 ** Brent crude futures up 0.8% at $66.9 per barrel ** Ten-year U.S. note yield at 4.08% ** As per NSDL data, foreign investors sold a net $19.9 million worth of Indian shares on September 8 ** NSDL data shows foreign investors sold a net $236.7 million worth of Indian bonds on September 5 https://www.reuters.com/world/india/rupee-faces-tug-of-war-open-trump-mixes-tariff-threats-with-trade-talks-2025-09-10/

2025-09-09 23:56

HOUSTON, Sept 9 (Reuters) - The latter half of September may see more tropical storms than much of this year's hurricane season so far, said forecasters from Colorado State University on Tuesday. Since the season began on June 1, there have been only six named tropical systems, one of which was Hurricane Erin. That is less than half of the 16 named storms researchers from the CSU's Tropical Meteorology Project predicted in early August. Sign up here. The researchers said a high pressure system over the Azores and high altitude troughs have pushed subtropical dry air into the tropical Atlantic, reducing conditions for storm formation. Also, tropical waves from Africa, which can seed storms, have been weaker, further reducing the chances a cyclone is spawned. But the weather patterns that have hindered storm development are expected to weaken by mid-September, raising the possibility for more Atlantic activity before the season ends on November 30. The next seven to 10 days will likely remain quiet in the Atlantic, with strong vertical wind shear and moisture patterns unfavorable to tropical cyclones, the researchers said. "However, after that point, vertical wind shear is forecast by (European forecasters) to weaken substantially, potentially yielding much more Atlantic favorable tropical cyclone conditions later this month." CSU, in line with other forecasters, is still predicting three major hurricanes with wind speeds over 111 mph (179 kph) this season. It is expecting eight hurricanes in all out of a total of 16 named tropical storms. https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/late-september-storms-may-liven-up-hurricane-season-say-colorado-state-2025-09-09/